LOS ANGELES, CA. The Center for Real Estate Studies (CRES) research report has just released their fourth quarter 2019 issue of “Market Cycles”. It gives a forward look at more than 150 income rental markets with “buy, sell or hold” recommendations. This publication gives the real estate investor a two-year head start on where and when to invest in rental income properties.
The current number of markets in the “Sell Phase” is forty, according to Eugene E. Vollucci, Director of CRES. The number of markets in the “Buy Phase” is twenty. Mr. Vollucci states, “This quarter the three top buy recommendations are Austin, TX, Louisville, KY, Minneapolis, MN. The three top sell recommendations are Honolulu, HI, McAllen, TX and El Paso, TX.” according to Mr. Vollucci. In this edition of our Market Cycles, we find the fourth quarter 2019 rental vacancy rate outside MSAs (Metropolitan Statistical Areas) was higher than in the suburbs, but not statistically different from the rate in principal cities The rental vacancy rate outside MSAs was lower than in the third quarter 2018, while rates in principal cities and in the suburbs were not statistically different from third quarter 2018 rates.
In a recent Freddie Mac survey, homeowners and renters fifty-five and older learned that an estimated 6 million homeowners and nearly as many renters prefer to move again and rent at some point. Of those homeowners and renters that expect to move again, over 5 million indicate they are likely to rent by 2020. This is just another indication of the growing pressure on already tight rental inventories and the significant challenges to housing affordability in the coming years. While estimates vary, we can expect a shortage of needed affordable rental units that will run into the millions. As such, the affordability gap will spread much wider than it is today.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Eugene E. Vollucci, is considered to be one of the foremost authorities on real estate taxation and investing and has authored books in these fields published by John Wiley & Sons of New York. He is the Director of the Center for RE Studies, a real estate research organization. To learn more about the Center, please visit our web site at http://www.calstatecompanies.com
